Wolfsburg vs Bayern

1X2 / Moneyline
Pick: Bayern Win
Odds: 1.94
Stake: 1

Match date: 17/04/2021

Bayern still want 3 points here as they should want to secure the league title ASAP after a disappointing cup season. Surely they were tired towards the end of midweek, but they now had 3 days of rest which should be fairly adequate. Given they were quarter-ball favourite at PSG, it's hard to see how they can't be three-quarter-ball favourite over Wolfsburg.

Wolfsburg is a consistently good team this season, just losing 4 games. However, their xG difference is only 0.35 per game, implying that they have overachieved to a certain degree. IMO they aren't able to compare with Bayern if the latter gives 100%.

For injuries, Lewandowski, Sule, Gnabry and Goretzka continue to be absent which are expected. My odds 1.82.

WIN Score: 2:3 Profit: +0.94
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