Willem II - AZ Alkmaar

Under / Over
Pick: Over 2.75 goals
Odds: 1.68
Stake: 1

Match date: 03/04/2021

Willem II from Tilburg and AZ from Alkmaar, play today match of the 28th round of the 1st Dutch league at 8 pm CET. The hosts are fighting to stay in the league, while AZ is rushing to second place and a direct placement in UEFA Champions League next season.

Montenegrin coach Željko Petrović, who took over the club from Tilburg this year, did a good job in the last five rounds, when won 9 points without defeat, and jumped to 15th place, which certainly brings a stay in the league.

However, there are still seven games to go and that place should be preserved, and one of the most difficult tasks is this one today against AZ. The guests play great football and the hosts are aware that even one point from this game would be a great success.

Main problem for coach Petrović is the injury of the first goalkeeper Brondeel, who will be replaced by 22-year-old Murić, and several other less important players aren't in competition today. Petrović announced a 4-3-3 tactical formation, and with 56 goals conceded, Willem II has third worst defense in the league.

Before two-week break due to the matches of the world national teams, AZ was in great shape and with 12 points in the last five matches jumped from 55 points to second place. In the last round, AZ defeated his direct rival PSV Eindhoven 2:0, and coach Pascal Jansen received a contract extension until 2023. as a reward.

Jansen has also been a new face on the bench since the end of last year, but managment are very happy with his work at the club from Alkmaar and that is why he got a new contract. For him, it is obligation to continue as he started and ultimately win that second place behind leading Ajax.

- We haven't done anything yet, but we are on the right track - said Jansen, who has all the most important players in the competition for today's game. AZ in the 4-3-3 formation is playing extremely offensively, having already scored 63 goals, and interestingly, the best scorer is the excellent midfielder Teun Koopmeiners, who is a scorer 15 times, while attacking trio Karlsson - Boadu - Stengs has a total of 27 goals.

Also, AZ have scored in the second half in each of their last 7 games, in both halves in 52% of their Eredivisie matches this season and if AZ won away this season, there were at least 3 goals being scored in 86% of league matches.

There is a big qualitative difference between these two clubs, which speaks difference of 33 points in 27 games and although Willem II is in good shape, it will be difficult to be equal to the combinatorial and fast play of the guests.

Here is a big dilemma whether to bet on the victory of the guests with at least two goals difference or the sum of goals, but given the statistics that say this - Willem II and AZ have both scored in their last 5 matches and Willem II conceded at least one goal against AZ in last 6 home games, and first match of the season ended 5:3 for AZ, let it be a goals option.

LOST Score: 0:1 Profit: -1
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