Udinese - Juventus

Under / Over
Pick: Under 2.75
Odds: 2.06
Stake: 1

Match date: 02/05/2021

Initially I was thinking backing Juventus -0.75 here but the odds are rubbish and with the latest infos, I think that in this game the best option will be to back the under 2.75 as I believe that we will witness a low scoring game for the following reasons:

1.   Udinese don’t have much to play for as they have already secured a mid-table position sitting in 11th place in the league table and thus will approach this match in a good spirit and will try at any cost to take a point from Juventus. Coach Gotti said that he will try to profit from Juventus troubles at the moment and try to make their live hard today.


2.   He is expected to deploy a 5-3-2 formation with defensive intentions giving Juventus a tough ask of penetrating their lines in order to create chances. Udinese is expected to field the usual combination of Rodrigo Becao, Kevin Bonifazi and Bram Nuytinck in the three-man backline with both wing-backs Nahuel Molina and Jens Stryger Larsen operating in a more defensive position thus creating a 5-3-2 defensive formation.

3.   Juventus for today’s match will have a huge absence and Federico Chiesa will not play. This is a huge blow as he has been their best player during this season. With his absence and the deployment of a 5-3-2 defensive approach by Udinese, it will be very hard for Juve to create chances. Juventus has struggled to create a lot of chances in the recent weeks so the absence of Chiesa will hurt them a lot. Dybala will start and he showed good performances and surely will give a hand in the creation of dangerous attacks, but Pirlo said that in midfield he will play with Rabiot and Betancour and these two players are not in their best form so I don’t expect much from them in the creation phase of the game.

These are the main reasons why I think that we will have a low scoring game and also we should have in mind that Juventus have not performed very well away from home this season and are likely to struggle in creating goalscoring opportunities against Udinese and with Chiesa’s absence it becomes even tougher. So under seems a good option! 

HALF LOST Score: 1:2 Profit: -0.5
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