SPAL - Reggiana

Under / Over
Pick: Under 2.75
Odds: 1.78
Stake: 1

Match date: 18/01/2021
I see good value in these odds and lines. I see much bigger possibility for low scoring result than bookies wants to suggest for us in odds. My odds@1.55

Spal have one of the best defense in league - they kept clean sheet 9 times in 17 rounds. This is excellent result, only Monza have more (10). 11 of 17 Spal matches in current season finished with under 2.5. On the other hand Spal is not so impressive in offense - they have 4.2 shots on target per game, it's only 10th result in league. Today Spal key offensive midfielder Castro (3 goals and 3 assists) is unavailable. As well is hard to expect big intensity from team, 4 days ago they made big win in Copa Italia against Sassuolo. I'm pretty sure Spal will look for goal and then to control the match till the end.

Reggiana at the moment have huge problems with creativity - they failed to score in last 5 matches in a row. Their top striker Mazzocchi (6 goals and 1 assist) is unavailable, so problem should be even bigger, especially against high quality Spal defensive formation. On the other hand Reggiana defense wasn't so bad in last weeks - they conceded less than 2 goals in 3 of last 5 matches.

6 of last 7 Spal home matches against Reggiana finished with Under 2.5

I see low scoring win for Spal here. "
WIN Score: 2:0 Profit: +0.78
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