Slovenia - Croatia

Asian Handicap
Pick: Croatia -0.5
Odds: 1.87
Stake: 1

Match date: 24/03/2021

Croatia will play three qualifying matches in just seven days, but the most important match from those three matches will be played today. Croatia will play next two matches against the weakest teams of the group Malta and Cyprus. So I expect full concentration and efforts on this match. This group is more or less very equilibrated as four teams will fight for the first two places, although I rate Croatia as the favorites for the first place. Still they have to show it on the field that they are the best team of the group.


Coach Dalic announced that Rebic and Petkovic have sustained injuries and will miss this match, but the good news is that both Perisic and Brozovic were allowed to participate in this match.


What concerns Slovenia, they had a successful year in 2020. They won their Nation League C Group 3 and went undefeated winning 4 and drawing 2 matches in that run. Nevertheless the opponents they faced were modest (Azerbaijan, Kosovo, Greece) and not near the quality of Croatia so it is difficult to make a comparison. Still five wins from eight matches across all competitions is certainly cause for optimism.

Another option I liked for this is also the under 2.5 priced around 1.70 because Slovenia has good defensive skills and a wonderful world class goalkeeper in Jan Oblak, and Croatia will miss Rebic and Petkovic in attack, but instead I opt for a Croatia victory here because the difference in quality and experience is clearly on Croatia’s side. 

LOST Score: 1:0 Profit: -1
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