Sivasspor v Goztepe

Asian Handicap
Pick: Away +0.5
Odds: 2.03
Stake: 1

Match date: 30/11/2020
Sivas are in middle of 2 EL matches (Qarabag and Villarreal). The club the fans all their society are very much determined for EL. In midweek match I watched them against Qarabag and they played %100 but 3-4 players had leg cramp during the match. They have got important absent list and will for sure lack concentration as they are dreaming to qualify from the EL group stage. And Villarreal are their like final match. Hakan Arslan, Faycal Fajr, Ugur Ciftci, Robin Yalcin, Erdogan Yesilyurt, Ziya Erdal are the important ones in absent list.
On the other hand Goztepe have large squad and a very good coach who knows all the dynamics of Turkish football. They also played cup match at the same date and time with Sivasspor on last Thursday but they rotated and their rival was Kirklareli from under league. This season they play good football and give confident. They don’t produce high performance but they are undefeated in last 4 away matches that they played in league so far. (I must remind here that Sivasspor can not win at home for 4 league matches this season. So you can consider as bad home team against good away team. ) Goztepe in fact with their quality can defeat any team in Super League if they really want. The odds IMO are super high.
I do not believe Sivasspor can win 2 consecutive matches especially in the eve of Villarreal which they are very much temped and with their absent list + their league performance at home, it looks like even a draw should satisfy them in this match traffic. Goztepe also have some absents but they have got alternative players and a coach who should solve the problems. They are more fresh and they are more concentrated than Sivasspor who are going to play top important match for Europa League.
I am thinking to take this Goztepe from like +0.5 as I believe the line is wrong. Fair line should be +0"
WIN Score: 0:1 Profit: +1.03
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