RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich

Asian Handicap
Pick: Leipzig +0.25 AH
Odds: 1.82
Stake: 1

Match date: 03/04/2021

Leipzig will face Bayern at home, a potential championship 6-pointer, with Leipzig in more need of the 3 points. Both teams have been flying high in Bundesliga recently, but Bayern is in trouble of fatigue and injury.

Bayern Munich has not been as good as last season after the treble. It is quite a normal phenomenon after a huge success, especially with the fatigue followed by ONLY LESS THAN A MONTH of break into the new season after the UCL final (almost no break in terms of training). They have been regaining their deadly form since mid-Feb as they had 6 consecutive wins with relative ease, including beating Dortmund and twice against Lazio. However, they have lost Lowandowski, arguably the BEST PLAYER IN THE WORLD right now, by an injury during the “international break”.

To make it worse, Sane, Kimmich, Goretzka and Gnabry, all considered important players of the team, had started all 3 games of Germany within 7 days. Sane and Geretzka were even doubtful before the North-Macedonia defeat due to minor knocks. It is almost IMPOSSIBLE that this Bayern will be 100% ready for this big game, NOT to mention there will be the more important UCL double legs vs PSG in the coming 2 midweeks.

Leipzig is effectively “4.5” points behind Bayern as their goal difference is way behind. They have no more UCL to play for, need a draw AT LEAST for this game, so easily more motivated than Bayern.

For Bayern, Boateng and Davies are suspended, while Sule is doubtful in addition to Lewy’s injury. For Leipzig, Kampl is suspended, Halstenberg is a doubt, while Angelino and Upamecano is hopeful to return from injury. Overall the situation is much better for Leipzig, and it is absolutely value to back them +0.25@1.82.

LOST Score: 0:1 Profit: -1
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