Radnički Pirot - Radnički 1923


Serbia
Asian Handicap
Pick: Pirot +1
Odds: 1.76
Stake: 1
Pinnacle

Match date: 29/03/2021

Radnički Pirot may be not in the best shape  recently and Radnički 1923 may be in a good moment, but still, these odds are a bit too high on the home team. We have 15th  placed team welcoming leaders and it's reasonable from the first look to see 1,45 for away team win in normal leagues but this is the "home stadium" league first of all  (even in corona times) and whenever we have big odds on hosts it attracts my attention to sit deeper on that game and analyze it. 


For sure Radnički Pirot is far away from the level of the team from current leaders but they at least have a good tradition in this H2H. Also, they got something of a good momentum by making it 1-1 in Novi Sad last round against one of the best teams in the league. This brought confidence amongst the player, so needed before this game. 


No matter how good looks 1923 team, they have just one victory on the road made by 2 or more goals victory. Today will be a hard battle against relegation candidates that will leave their blood on the pitch for survival. Sooner or later, visitors will fall down in form as they have plenty of young players waiting for the affirmation and chance in the first team. 


I did expect to see the home team about 4,50 and not 6,50, so will use a +1 asian handicap as this might end draw after all. Hopefully, Pirot can pull out the victory, but for sure they will need a bit of luck. 

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TIP RESULTING
WIN Score: 1:0 Profit: +0.76
Win
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