Osijek - Rijeka

Under / Over
Pick: Under 2,75
Odds: 1.74
Stake: 1

Match date: 21/02/2021

Osijek and Rijeka will play match of 22nd round of the 1st Croatian football league today at 3 pm CET. With the victory, Osijek would reach leading Dinamo, which has 45 points, while Rijeka is defending fourth place, where it has six points more than fifth Hajduk. Osijek has 13 points more than Rijeka with one more game played.

In the last round, Osijek lost derby against Dinamo 0:1, but didn't disappoint, with a little more luck and concentration, they could have avoided defeat. In that match, third yellow card was given to Petar Bočkaj, offensive midfielder with a very strong shot, which is very important for Nenad Bjelica's team and he will not be in the squad today.

Forwards Ndokyt, Topčagić and Grezda are injured, and new acquisitions Gyurcso and Santini aren't yet ready to play. All this means that Osijek has very few offensive solutions, only the best scorer Mierez and the experienced winger Erceg. Otherwise, Osijek plays patiently, doesn't take big risks, tries to get opportunities with rhythm and after set-pieces.

Rijeka will be in a strong defensive block and 3-5-2 formation, and for the hosts it won't be easy break through the lines of the guests. In the last match on Wednesday, Rijeka played 0:0 away in Velika Gorica, defended all 90 minutes and didn't allow the host almost a single chance, but also rarely threatened the goalkeeper of Gorica.

Coach Simon Rožman will apply such tactics today in Osijek, one point is OK for him, but his biggest problem is the fatigue of his players. Rijeka had to play a lot of postponed games from first part of the Championship, so in 2021. this is tenth game in the space of 33 days. It's hard to keep up with that rhythm, Rožman managed to rest some players four days ago, but most of them will have to go on the field again today. Two defenders Smolčić and Capan were injured, but the trio in the back line Escoval - Galović - Velkovski has experience and with one of the best goalkeepers in the league Nevistić, they should be able to deal with the hosts.

Osijek is undefeated at home for a long time and some will ask for his victory on the betting tickets, but we are more inclined to the option of a match in which there will not be too many goals.

Osijek has the best defense in the league (16 goals conceded in 21 games) and an excellent goalkeeper Ivušić, while Rijeka is a competitive team that knows how to defend and threaten from counter-attacks, but doesn't have extremely fast players. In the last six home victories without conceding a goal, Osijek has scored three goals only once (Slaven Belupo), so even today we see maximum two balls in the goalkeeper's net.

WIN Score: 2:0 Profit: +0.74
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