Osijek - Dinamo

Asian Handicap
Pick: AH +0.25 Osijek
Odds: 1.94
Stake: 1

Match date: 21/04/2021

In the 30th round of 1st Croatian football league, the decisive match for the title of champion between Osijek and Dinamo may be played, tonight at 8.30 CET in Osijek. Although there are still six rounds left after thid derby, if the leading Dinamo will be the winner, then will go for a five-point advantage, which will not lose until the end of Championship, while other results leave hope for Osijek as well.

So there is no doubt that Osijek will give everything to win this match, it would mean a lot to his coach Nenad Bjelica, who was expelled from Dinamo bench at this time last year, and now has big opportunity for a revenge.

Osijek plays very pragmatic football, conceded the fewest goals in the league (21 in 29 matches), and has only one defeat in 14 games and 11 victories at home stadium. Osijek suffered that defeat at the beginning of the season against Hajduk, but then Bjelica wasn't the coach. The hosts have all main players at disposal, except midfielder Jugović, who has been suspended, but this isn't a big handicap, as are some previously injured players (Guti, Ndockyt, Brlek, Grezda).

Bjelica will start this match with proven strength, and he has the highest hopes for the league's top scorer Ramon Mierez, the Argentine striker, who has already scored 20 goals. However, there are still very good individuals in home team, in the last round there was a 1:0 victory against Hajduk in Split, which brought big dose od confidence for this derby.

The 3-4-3 tactical formation guarantees both, a strong defense and the possibility of pressure with three offensives, but the impression is that the home team will play patiently, block guests and look for their chances, both in transition and in set-pieces where they are also very good. Osijek's advantage is also freshness, they played a few games less than Dinamo in the second part of this season because the guests played in the European League, where they were eliminated in the quarterfinals by Spanish Villarreal last Thursday.

- After big victory against Hajduk in Split, the situation in the team, in our locker room, is the best it can be. It's at the highest level. We played a great game at Poljud, and achieved a result that gave us a significant boost. I believe that everything will be fine tonight, I believe that we will show our true face again, the one showed in the victory against Hajduk, and that means that we will win the victory, who we all want so much - said the home coach Nenad Bjelica.

Dinamo has not been the champion of Croatia only once in the last 16 years (2017.), and this year achieved a historic placement in the quarterfinals of the European League. However, Dinamo got a serious competitor in Croatia, Hungarian investors invested a lot of money in Osijek, and Dinamo cannot sleep peacefully, especially after coach Zoran Mamić was recently sentenced to prison.

His role was taken over by assistant Damir Krznar and he became famous with a 3:0 victory against Tottenham, which a few days ago led to the dismissal of Jose Mourinho.

For Krznar, this match is of big importance, and his biggest problem is fatigue and problems with injuries of some of the most important players. Captain Arijan Ademi and top striker Bruno Petković will probably play tonight, but their ankle (Ademi) and shoulder (Petković) problem can occur at any time and then they have to get off the field.

Due to three cards, striker Gavranović is certainly missing, so the guests have the least options at the top of the attack. Therefore, it's not to be expected that they will rush forward, one point is enough for them and Krznar will adjust the tactics in the 4-2-3-1 formation.

It's important for the guests to control the middle of the field and the rhythm of play, and strong in defense, Mierez is very dangerous from all positions and Dinamo players will pay the most attention to him, as well as preventing a quick transition of the home team.

- They are a stable team, they know how to play to the result, they receive few goals. Osijek is very stable defensively, and has the killer Mierez ahead. Without a doubt, Osijek is a team for great respect. Deservedly Osijek is here, deservedly blowing in our backs, but I think that we are still one step better team. But, we have to confirm that on the field, I believe we will - said Dinamo coach Damir Krznar.

Based on quality and experience, bookmakers gave Dinamo an advantage in this match, but fatigue and exhaustion factors are very important at the end of the season. There are guests in deficit, and Osijek is in excellent shape and mood, and we believe that home team will not lose tonight, as they very rarely lose last two or three seasons at their stadium. The reserve betting option is also less than 2,5 goals in total.

And finally, one detail that is much emphasized in the Croatian media, and that is derby referee Mario Zebec from Cestica near Varaždin. He is a Dinamo fan and has known to help him with controversial decisions in the past, but we believe that this is too big and too important match to be decided by the referee.

HALF WIN Score: 1:1 Profit: +0.47
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