Millwall - Birmingham

Asian Handicap
Pick: Birmingham +0.5AH
Odds: 1.72
Stake: 1

Match date: 17/02/2021


This match presents an unusual situation. Millwall are in 14th position, while Birmingham sit in the relegation zone in 23rd place. You would probably think that Millwall should win this game, but with both teams being in the bottom half just tells me anything can happen because the difference in quality between teams in this league is quite small generally.

Looking at their home and away records, this gets flipped completely on it's head. Millwall have the 21st best home record out of only 24 teams and Birmingham have the 10th best away record. The lions have just 2 home wins all season, against Luton near the start of the season and in their last outing at The Den against Sheffield Wednesday.

Birmingham have been tough to beat on the road with just 3 losses so far. Their last outing away from St Andrews was a 3-2 loss to Bournemouth but they only went down to a 77th minute winner.

I do believe that they are a better team than what their position suggests. Karanka has managed Middlesbrough and was not too far from getting them into the Premier League some years ago.

For me the value is on Birmingham to get something from this mid-week match.

LOST Score: 2:0 Profit: -1
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