Milan - Inter


Italy
Asian Handicap
Pick: Milan (AH+0.5)
Odds: 1.89
Stake: 1
Pinnacle

Match date: 21/02/2021

»Soccer» Italy »Serie A» AC Milan - Inter

The AH + 0.5 line and odds have value. Any odds above 1.65 has value for me.

Currently, the odds of Inter winning are 2.05, which means about 49% of  chances of winning, which is too much, ie the odds are too low.

For me, Milan has about a 61% chance of remaining undefeated.


Basic reasons for the investment:

- A very important match for both teams who fighting for the title. Currently, Inter has 50 points while Milan has 49 points.

- Milan at home has a ratio of: 6-3-2, while Inter has a ratio of: 6-4-1 on the away field.

-In Milan will be absent; Diaz (MF), Maldini (MF) and Bennacer (DMF).

-In Inter will miss Sensi (MF).

H2H: Of the last five home games, Milan have three draws and two defeats.


Predicted lineups

AC Milan: (4-2-3-1): Donnarumma; Calabria, Kjaer, Romagnoli, Hernandez; Tonali, Kessie; Saelemaekers, Calhanoglu, Rebic; Ibrahimovic


Inter: (3-5-2): Handanovic; Skriniar, De Vrij, Bastoni; Hakimi, Barella, Brozovic, Eriksen, Perisic; Martinez, Lukaku


For me, this is a pure value bet and I think Milan has a much better chance of remaining undefeated than the odds says.

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TIP RESULTING
LOST Score: 0:3 Profit: -1
Lost
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