Manchester City vs Manchester United


England
Asian Handicap
Pick: AH (2) +0.5
Odds: 2.85
Stake: 1
Pinnacle

Match date: 07/03/2021

We have a Derby match tomorrow in the English Premier league. It is the Manchester Derby. City will be hosting Manchester United. 

Both these sides have done well this season as City are first while United are second. A win for City here would probably end United's hopes for winning the title this season as the pts difference would then be 17.

For Manchester United to win the title, they have to make changes but the owners do not want to spend money to sign better players. They need a solid centre back as Maguire and Lindelof are not consistent enough. Bailly is world class but he is injury prone. I think they need to sign someone like Koulibaly or Ramos to strengthen their defence problems. They also need a winger as Martial looks very lost and James is too young as he needs time. I feel they should bring back Depay from Lyon. 


Manchester City spent lot of money on their defence but finally found the right partnership of Stones and Dias who have been excellent this season and the key for them to be at the top. 


However, Ole Gunnar has given Guardiola very hard time as out of the last four head to head meetings between the sides, Manchester United have won two, drawn one and City have won one. 

Ole Gunnar plays a very sensible game of marking the players really well and attacking only when needed, mostly he uses counter attacks and does well. 

Last season, Ole beat Manchester City both home and away. Manchester City dominanted possesion in both games. In both games, Manchester United had 28% possession and City had 72% but the result went in favour of United. Manchester United scored in counter attack as the pace of James, Rashford was amazing. Manchester United scored two goals at half time and then did the job well of properly marking the players. 


I feel so Ole would use the same system here of letting Manchester City have possesion, let them bring players forward and counter attacking when they get the chance, for that, I feel they will use Daniel James instead of Marital and Cavani could also be benched because he was nowhere to be seen in last game plus he has no Pace. 


I expect this formation for Manchester United ÷

          Henderson 

AWB, Maguire, Lindelof, Shaw

           McTomnay, Fred

                     Bruno

Greenwood, Rashford, James


Manchester City are in excellent form but I do not think them winning here unless they have a different plan and Guardiola sometimes messes up in big games due to overthinking. 


I expect Manchester United to win here or either draw, so I pick +0.5 handicap 



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TIP RESULTING
WIN Score: 0:2 Profit: +1.85
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