Ludogorets - Crvena zvezda

UEFA Europa League
Asian Handicap
Pick: Ludogorets (0) AH
Odds: 1.86
Stake: 1

Match date: 30/09/2021

Europa League, Group stage, R2

Ludogorets is hosting Crvena zvezda. The Serbian champion is the current leader of this group after victory in the opening round at home 2:1 over Portuguese Braga. I can't say they exactly deserved to win back then. Braga was at least equal opponent if not better.  

Now in Bulgaria should be much more difficult cause Crvena zvezda is in big problems with its squad, injuries plus Covid.  

They were lately without top striker option Pavkov as well without Ben. Two best players upfront. They might show up but I doubt. In any case hardly they would be at 100%. Other attacking options who have played lately, Richairo Zivkovic and Lois Diony simply to say, are not good enough.  

The first goalkeeper Milan Borjan was out due to stomach virus and today came out he is also Covid positive. But he is not the only one. Miloš Degenek, Aleksandar Dragović and Aleksandar Katai are other players infected so far. This is now too much cause Dragovic is by far the best defender while Katai overall the best team player. Basically Crvena zvezda is handicapped for absence of best players in all lines of the team, goalkeeper, defense, midfield and attack. 

In this situation the current odds which are set as 50:50 are representing great value on the home team.  

Ludogorets came back from Denmark with one point from the opening round meeting with Midtjylland. I think they should take at least one point also now if not all three.  

LOST Score: 0:1 Profit: -1
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  • 1
    Maradona 28/09/2021 21:07:51
    The preview was written earlier when it was supposed to be +0.25 AH. Still, I had to wait to post it due to 48 hours rule. In the meantime when it was announced how many unavailable players Zvezda has, odds on Ludogorets dropped, so I went here with AH (0). But that is still ok, I see this as free bet. We should have at least money back if not profit.

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