Liverpool vs Newcastle


England
Asian Handicap
Pick: Newcastle +1.75
Odds: 1.96
Stake: 1
Pinnacle

Match date: 24/04/2021

Liverpool is still suffering in attack, especially at home where they only scored 5 goals (?15 xG) in recent 10 home games. Sure there is a factor of bad luck, but confidence should be the primary factor behind that. Still we don't see the recovery of confidence from them as they had only an even game away at Leeds. FIrmino and Mane are nowhere close to they were 1-2 years ago. At the moment it is not easy for them to score 2 goals in a game.


In contrast, Newcastle had been in superb form lately after the international break. Their attack finally blossoms scoring 7 in 3, especially impressive in outplaying Spur (2-2) at home and beating the red-hot West Ham by 3-2, where they had "victory" in terms of xG too in both games. Sure they would be much more defensive here, especially as they don't really need many 3 points now to stay up. But with the momentum and the recovery of talisman Callum Wilson, there's good chance they can score here.


Both teams are fully motivated as one is chasing for UCL spot while the other is fighting to stay up. Liverpool have CB Phillips as a doubt added to their long list of CB injury, while Newcastle key creator Maximin is also doubtful. Overall my odds 1.78.

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TIP RESULTING
WIN Score: 1:1 Profit: +0.96
Win
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Comments

  • 1
    Shuaib Yunus Hassan 23/04/2021 23:00:31
    Liverpool needing points much more than Newcastle as Newcastle probably look safe now. Liverpool have been having tough competition for top 4. I would have gone other way round but lets see what happens mate
  • 2
    AsianBesTrader 24/04/2021 10:04:57
    you sure newcastle doesn't need points? 38 points to be safe and they are with momentum right now. Their goal difference isnt beautiful either so they could try to minimize goals concede
  • 3
    AsianBesTrader 24/04/2021 12:57:48
    Liv go ultra-attacking with front 4 and Thiago+Ginni holding. Sure newcastle will be defensive, happy to lose by 1 maybe for goal difference factor
  • 5
    Shuaib Yunus Hassan 24/04/2021 20:23:02
    AsianBesTrader: you sure newcastle doesn't need points? 38 points to be safe and they are with momentum right now. Their goal difference isnt beautiful either so they could try to minimize goals concede

    You proved right. Well done.

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