Leipzig - Liverpool

UEFA Champions League
Under / Over
Pick: Under 3
Odds: 1.8
Stake: 1

Match date: 16/02/2021

First leg of the Champions League last 16 between Leipzig and Liverpool will be played on neutral ground in Hungary due to covid19 restrictions. 

In this match I will not back any of the teams because this match could go either way, although I fancy a bit more Liverpool to get a result because Leipzig has no home advantage and Liverpool should focus more on Chempions league since they already lost the title race in England with 13 points behind City. 

For this match I believe the best option is to play under 3. This choice of mine is based on the assumption that in two leg ties of such important tournaments, teams tend to be more cautious in first legs and play more accurately. Especially for home teams who in case of conceding goals at home have more difficult task in second leg. 

I know that playing unders when teams like Leipzig and Liverpool are involved is always very dangerous, but tonight I don’t expect a very risky game from Leipzig and also Liverpool will be happy to keep it low scoring and not concede. 

Leipzig in comparison with first half of the season has improved their defense with 9 clean sheets in last 13 games. While Liverpool in last matches seems to have lost a bit from their powerful attack especially in last couple of games. 

So to sum up I expect a cautious game from both teams and I don’t expect more than three goals tonight in this first leg. 

WIN Score: 0:2 Profit: +0.8
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