Lazio - Milan

Asian Handicap
Pick: Milan +0.5
Odds: 1.78
Stake: 1

Match date: 26/04/2021

Interesting match at Olimpico tonight where Lazio meets Milan. Both teams aspiring a top four finish so this match is very important in this context. 

It is true that Milan is suffering a bit in the last matches and are coming to this match after a defeat that compromises their chances for a top four finish. 

Milan started very good the season, but I was sure that the maximum they could achieve would be a top four finish and this is happening. 

Nevertheless for this match I don’t think that the odds are correct because I don’t see Lazio such big favorite. 

It is true that Lazio are in a better form that Milan at the moment and before last defeat to Napoli they were in a five matches winning run. Still they are suffering too much in defense lately and I believe Milan could profit from this. 

Its an interesting fact that both teams are aiming for e record tonight. Lazio will try to win its tenth game in row at Olimpico while Milan will try to win their 14 match out of 16 away from home. Also in recent years Milan have had success in h2h matches against Lazio. 

So considering all the factors I think that this match is more equilibrated than the odds suggest. So taking a +0.5 on Milan seems like a good bet and I am taking this possibility. Over should be another good bet but odds were not interesting so my call is Milan +0.5. 

LOST Score: 3:0 Profit: -1
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