Lanus vs Rosario Central

By Nestor - 8.1.2021. 16:40

Argentina

Asian Handicap

Pick: Lanus +0.25

Odds: 1.82

Stake: 1

IBC

Match date: 09/01/2021

We are going with Lanus because their substitute team has already shown that it adapts well in first-class and even has good results.
They already beat Aldosivi in Mar del Plata, they tied with Defense and Justice and they come from drawing with Patronato in Parana where they almost won it.
Central arrives with a hundred casualties, where its scorers are already out among several more starters. The speech of Vecchio and Marinelli:

https://www.ellitoral.com/index.php/id_um/276651-rosario-central-visita-con-varias-bajas-a-los-suplentes-de-lanus-para-ser-primero-este-domingo- by-the-5-date-sports-copa-maradona.html? utm_source = dlvr.it & utm_medium = twitter

https://www.rosario3.com/deportes/Dos-nuevas-bajas-en-Central-por-posible-covid-y-el-Kily-pediria-la-postergacion-del-partido-con-Lanus-20210108- 0034.html? Utm_source = dlvr.it & utm_medium = twitter

Also remember that Central, even losing, already secures its first place. Union should win by 5 goals to get first place
La Cantera de Lanus is a reality, not for nothing does the first team of Lanus have many lower-level players, for that reason, I bet on locals handicap.

TIP RESULTING

WIN Score: 2:0 Profit: +0.82

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Tipster	Profit	Yield	Picks
Alwin Amler	-2.98	-17%	18
HenryLai	1.51	76%	2
Jugoslav	1.02	20%	5
kaskader	-6.54	-18%	36
Robert Munter	4.59	13%	36
Mackbet	-4.93	-41%	12
mrgol	5.32	17%	31
Nestor	-8.24	-18%	45
Maradona	5.23	31%	17
Andre Graca	2.42	20%	12
alexis1016	-3.9	-14%	27
Ivan-dzo	6.78	57%	12
erbil	-1.16	-19%	6

Tipster

Profit

Yield

Picks

Alwin Amler

-2.98

-17%

HenryLai

1.51

76%

Jugoslav

1.02

20%

kaskader

-6.54

-18%

Robert Munter

4.59

13%

Mackbet

-4.93

-41%

mrgol

5.32

17%

Nestor

-8.24

-18%

Maradona

5.23

31%

Andre Graca

2.42

20%

alexis1016

-3.9

-14%

Ivan-dzo

6.78

57%

erbil

-1.16

-19%

Maradona 24/10/2021 23:15:06

Thanks man. I really appreciate your kind words. Sorry that I don't replay on your comment always.

By the way, it's not that I choose Draw so often. In that case it wouldn't be profitable. I'm making strict selection and every pick even if it's a draw with odds 3.50+, is only when I'm highly confident.

Just for the record in the last three months I had:
August 13 bets, only 2 were Draws and both correct.
September 28 bets, only 4 were draws, 3 of 4 correct.
October 17 bets so far, only 4 draws and 3 of 4 correct.
In total over last three months:
58 bets and only 10 times it was Draw choice. So basically in average once out of six bets I have the draw bet.
But my hitting ratio on draws is extremely high. I have won 8 of the 10 in the mentioned period of the last three months. That's pretty damn good even if you would pick 1.50 odds.
Of course on the super long run it's not 80% of the time I'm correct but I'm easily hitting 40+ % of my draw picks. So everyone can take a math.

Obviously I'm doing this correctly. 25+ years of betting behind me including 6 years as a bookie and those 6 years in terms of experience and chance to learn and improve, worth I would say like 600 years of being only bettor.

Shuaib Yunus Hassan 24/10/2021 23:21:10

Sounds pretty cool. It's very hard though to get many draws. 8 out of 10 drawns going correct is Simply Amazing Man
Maradona 24/10/2021 23:15:06

Shuaib Yunus Hassan: Never saw someone getting many draw picks as you, a wonderful job u do
Thanks man. I really appreciate your kind words. Sorry that I don't replay on your comment always.

By the way, it's not that I choose Draw so often. In that case it wouldn't be profitable. I'm making strict selection and every pick even if it's a draw with odds 3.50+, is only when I'm highly confident.

Just for the record in the last three months I had:
August 13 bets, only 2 were Draws and both correct.
September 28 bets, only 4 were draws, 3 of 4 correct.
October 17 bets so far, only 4 draws and 3 of 4 correct.
In total over last three months:
58 bets and only 10 times it was Draw choice. So basically in average once out of six bets I have the draw bet.
But my hitting ratio on draws is extremely high. I have won 8 of the 10 in the mentioned period of the last three months. That's pretty damn good even if you would pick 1.50 odds.
Of course on the super long run it's not 80% of the time I'm correct but I'm easily hitting 40+ % of my draw picks. So everyone can take a math.

Obviously I'm doing this correctly. 25+ years of betting behind me including 6 years as a bookie and those 6 years in terms of experience and chance to learn and improve, worth I would say like 600 years of being only bettor.
Shuaib Yunus Hassan 24/10/2021 22:45:02

Never saw someone getting many draw picks as you, a wonderful job u do
Shuaib Yunus Hassan 24/10/2021 22:44:04

Wow another draw and correct
Shuaib Yunus Hassan 24/10/2021 22:43:20

Bellingham scored an amazing goal, a chip after dribbling past two players . 17 / 18 year old and playing so amazingly, that guy has serious talent

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