Juventus- Roma

Asian Handicap
Pick: Juventus -0.75
Odds: 1.94
Stake: 1

Match date: 06/02/2021

As I mentioned in my last preview, these two weeks are very important for Juve and great deal of the season will be decided. They started by defeating Inter in the first semi final leg and took revenge for that humiliating defeat two weeks ago. After that defeat Juve has responded very well by wining the super cup and two consecutive league game before the win against Inter in semis.

The best thing about those victories is the improvement that Juve has had in the defense. If they manage to keep a clean sheet tonight it will be first time under Pirlo that Juve manages to keep clean sheet in three consecutive league games. Juve’s defense has been vulnerable since the beginning of the season which was unusual for a team like Juve. Nevertheless with the return of De Ligt and Chiellini the defense has improved a lot. 

Tonight Juve is expected to start with Chiellini, Bonucci and De Ligt in the back. In midfield Betancur is banned and in his place will play Arthur, a player which has great motivation to show his skills. Alongside him will start Rabiot and McKennie. In attack Ronaldo Morata and Chiesa. Both Morata and Chiesa were rested against Inter. Morata played only 15 minutes and Chiesa 2 minutes. Arthur also played only 15 minutes. While Bonucci was rested and Chiellini also played 2 minutes. So practically almost half of the team and most important players had a rest so fatigue should not be an issue. 

For Juventus the victory is very important because they don’t have the luxury to drop points anymore. This is the first time in a decade that Juve has real competition for the title so any mistake could cost them. 

On the other hand Roma as always very entertaining team to watch and on a given day could beat anyone, but their defensive problems are very serious. They allow too much goals. They are 13th worst defense in league and the worst defense in top10 teams. 

I believe that their defensive issues will be the biggest minus for them tonight as it will be very difficult to deal with Juve’s attack. It is a fact that this season Roma has struggled against teams in the upper part of the table. They still haven’t won a match against top teams in the league. 

For tonight game Roma will miss Smalling due to injury and Pellegrini banned. 

To sum up I expect another good performance and continuity from Juventus. Their attacking power is too strong for Roma’s vulnerable defense while Juve’s defense with big guns Bonnuci Chiello and DeLigt should be tough to beat by Roma’s attack. So a win here for Juve is my call

WIN Score: 2:0 Profit: +0.94
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