Iwata - Montedio Yamagata

Asian Handicap
Pick: Iwata -0.25
Odds: 1.83
Stake: 1

Match date: 17/07/2021

Although I'm a little worried because Jubilo are short of options at the back after the departure of Hiroki Ito (he left for Germany) and the injury of Riku Morioka (no info about his status yet), I still think they can overcome Montedio on Saturday, but I'm going to be cautious by backing the -0.25 line instead of -0.5. Both sides are on a good run being undefeated in a long time. Anyway, if we take a closer look at their recent results we can see that Iwata have defeated strong opponent like the likes of Kofu, Nagasaki or Niigata, while Montedio haven't faced top sides recently. 

Indeed, Montedio are another team after Peter Cklamovski took over, but I feel Jubilo have a better squad overall. The home side have better foreigners and a better bench. For instance, in the previous game Omori and Fabian Gonzalez came on from the bench to rescue a point from Yamaguchi, in what was a below par performance from Jubilo. Probably overconfidence played a role last week, but I can't see Jubilo making two bad games in a row, especially as the opponent is more serious now and the focus should be better this time. 

LOST Score: 1:2 Profit: -1
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