Italy : Spain

Asian Handicap
Pick: ITALY 0
Odds: 1.56
Stake: 1

Match date: 06/10/2021

First semi-final in the UEFA Nations League taking place at the San Siro in Milano. In this game the Furia Roja has the chance to take revenge for the EURO 4:2  semi-final loss from penalties against Italy this summer. Anyway, coach Paolo Maldinis Squadra Azurra is on an almost unbelievable run of 37 unbeaten games since autumn 2018 with 16 wins in the last 18 games. Under Mancini the team stands for a real strong defense led by the experienced inside defense duo Bonucci and Chiellini in addition to a real world ´class midfield with players like Chelseas Jorginho or Marco Verrati. The fact that Lazios Ciro Immobile will miss this game should be no handicap for the team as in my opinion Immobile was the only weak point in this team during the EURO. Immobile should be replaced by Moise Kean who together with Chiesa and Insigne forms a dangerous offensive triangle. Spains national team has many important missings for this game as Pedri, Thiago, Dani Olmo and Morata wont be available, Surprisingly Luis Enriques team has even decent problems in the WC Qualification group phase after losing 1:2 to Sweden. Spains defense looks rather vulnerable these days having conceded in 8 of the last 12 games and that in some cases against weak teams. With players like Mikel Oyarzabal, Sarabia or Ferran Torres their offensive department also has not real world-class quality. I feel that the home field advantage combined with the more stable defense should be the decisive factor in this game. Anyway, I want to bet real safe which means that I will go for the DRAW NO BET option as still this is an important game between those 2 rivals ín which a draw would of course be a result that would be no surprise at all. 

LOST Score: 1:2 Profit: -1
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