Italy - Moldova

Asian Handicap
Pick: Moldova (AH+3.5)
Odds: 1.93
Stake: 1

Match date: 07/10/2020
Soccer »World» Friendly International »Italy - Moldova

For me the AH line and odds have good value. Any odds above 1.90 for me is value.

Basic reasons for investment;
- friendly match, the coach of Italy announced rotations in the team, ie he will give a chance to players who played less
- Moldova has not lost in the last six away games with more than three goals difference, ie out of the last 10 games it has only lost once with more than three goals difference
- h2h: of the two games played Italia both won one goal difference

Invited players for Italy;
Goalkeepers: Alessio Cragno (Cagliari), Gianluigi Donnarumma (Milan), Marco Silvestri (Hellas Verona), Salvatore Sirigu (Turin);

Defenders: Francesco Acerbi (Lazio), Cristiano Biraghi (Fiorentina), Leonardo Bonucci (Juventus), Giorgio Chiellini (Juventus), Danilo D'Ambrosio (Inter), Emerson Palmieri Dos Santos (Chelsea), Alessandro Florenzi (Paris Saint Germain) Manuel Lazzari (Lazio), Gianluca Mancini (Roma), Angelo Obinze Ogbonna (West Ham United), Leonardo Spinazzola (Roma);

Midfielders: Nicol? Barella (Inter), Giacomo Bonaventura (Fiorentina), Gaetano Castrovilli (Fiorentina), Bryan Cristante (Roma), Jorginho (Chelsea), Manuel Locatelli (Sassuolo), Lorenzo Pellegrini (Roma), Stefano Sensi (Inter), Marco Verratti (Paris Saint Germain);

Attackers: Andrea Belotti (Turin), Domenico Berardi (Sassuolo), Francesco Caputo (Sassuolo), Federico Chiesa (Fiorentina), Stephan El Shaarawy (Shanghai Shenua), Vincenzo Grifo (Friborgo), Ciro Immobile (Lazio), Moise Kean ), Kevin Lasagna (Udinese), Riccardo Orsolini (Bologna).

I expect that players who play less for Italy will get minutes in this match, so I think it is realistic to expect a victory of Italy by two to three goals difference max."
LOST Score: 6:0 Profit: -1
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