Inter - Juventus


Italy
Under / Over
Pick: Over 2.5
Odds: 2.01
Stake: 1
Pinnacle

Match date: 17/01/2021
I think over 2.5 is the best possible bet for today's big game in Serie A. Pinnacle opening odds for this option was 1.79 and I believe that was about perfect line. Now we have available 1.99 with top limit and I see excellent value.

H2H is very underish, but I not pay attention for that. I expect both teams to play very open football today to get 3 points. Juventus is 7 points behind Milan (played one match less), Inter is 3 points behind Milan. Draw in today's match is good result, but only for Milan (they will play tomorrow against poor Cagliari).

Juventus defense at the moment is hard to break - they conceded at least one goal in last 5 matches in a row, 4 days ago they conceded 2 goals in Copa Italia against poor Genoa. In Serie A Juventus conceded at least one goal in 13 of 16 matches. In addition to that Juventus today will play without their key central defender de Ligt. Similar story with Inter - they conceded at least one goal in last 6 matches in a row, they conceded more than one goal in 3 of last 4 matches. Inter conceded at least one goal in 14 of 17 Serie A matches so far.

On the other hand both teams have huge potential upfront. Both teams have best Serie A scorers in their squads. Inter Romelu Lukaku (12) and Juventus Cristiano Ronaldo (15). The two have scored 27 goals together in the current Serie A season, 12 teams have scored fewer goals than this duo. Juventus scored at least one goal in 16 of last 17 matches in all competitions, 13 times they scored more than one goal, 10 times more than two goals. Inter scored at least one goal in all 17 Serie A matches in current season, 11 times they scored more than one goal, 7 times more than two goals.

Both teams should be able to score at least one goal and in that case over looks like excellent bet here. "
TIP RESULTING
LOST Score: 2:0 Profit: -1
Lost
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