Granada - Napoli

UEFA Europa League
Asian Handicap
Pick: Granada +0.5
Odds: 1.71
Stake: 1

Match date: 18/02/2021

I will point out the main factors for my bet. In this first leg I will back the home team not to lose because of these reasons:

  1.  The main reason is that today Napoli will travel to Spain with a lot of absences. Ospina, Koulibaly, Manolas, Hysaj, Ghoulam, Lozano, Mertens, Demme, Petagna. For today match Napoli called up six players from youth team. Very big injury crisis indeed. Practically their bench tonight will be composed by the young players. 
  2. The second reason is that this is just the first leg and I believe Napoli wont play so hard and win at any cost, because really they dont have to. Napoli is coming to this match after an hard game against Juve where they won and surely it will boost their confidence, but we should remember that Napoli's objective this year is to finish top four in the league and they will have to fight hard for that against teams like Roma, Lazio, Atalanta, Juve. After this match on sunday they have very important match in Bergamo against Atalanta, so I believe they will not fight hard tonight too get the win at any cost. A draw could suit them very well.
  3. the opposite is with Granada, they don;t have any chances to get any european spot from the league as they are six points from the sixth placed villareal and they will have to fight against teams like Villareal, Betis, Sociedad for those european places, but they know it will be extremely hard to get one of those places. They sit comfortably on 8th place with no relegation threat, so european cups should be their focus now. I don't expect them to go far away in this cup but I beleive they would want to try their chances. For these reasons I will back them tonight to take at least a draw from depleted Napoli. 
WIN Score: 2:0 Profit: +0.71
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