Granada - Molde

UEFA Europa League
Asian Handicap
Pick: Molde (+1)
Odds: 1.75
Stake: 1

Match date: 11/03/2021

Historic matchup for both teams because they have the chance to qualify for ? finals in an European competition for the first time in their history. Both teams were underdogs in previous round when Granada eliminated Napoli and Molde made even a bigger surprise eliminating Hoffenheim.

In this match I lean toward Molde because of the situation of Granada. Granada goes to this match with e depleted squad. They will have only eleven senior players available. Coach Martinez joked yesterday in the interview when he said that he has "the easiest call-up of his life", since he only has eleven field players available, three goalkeepers and three from the youth team. Herrera suspended due to cards, while Machis, Milla, Montoro, Neva, Sanchez, Soro, Charris, Vallejo all injured. Gonalons is expected to take part in this match because he was training with team, but coming from injury I don’t know if he will be fit enough to hold on for 90 minutes.

As we can see the situation is not good for the hosts while Molde on the other hand no reported injury problems. The thing with Molde is that they haven’t still started their league, which starts in April, so I suppose they are now fresher than Granada and in the culmination of their preparations for the upcoming season. So maybe they lack a bit of official match practice, but they showed great determination against Hoffenheim in both matches, especially in the first when they came back from a 1-3 deficit.

I am sorry that I took so late this match because the odds were very good yesterday, but still I see big value on this match. I would even take the +0.5 on Molde, but still Granada could grab a win here and I don’t want to risk a lot in this first match. Still due to the abovementioned squad problems of Granada I hardly see a win with more than goal for Granada, so this option seems good. 

LOST Score: 2:0 Profit: -1
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