Gamba Osaka - Cerezo Osaka

Asian Handicap
Pick: Gamba +0.25
Odds: 1.86
Stake: 1

Match date: 28/08/2021

I don't know why the odds are in the favor of Cerezo for this Osaka derby because both sides have a bad season, below expectations, but looking at recent games, not necesarilly the results but the performances I think Gamba are better. Gamba are clearly improved compared to the start of the season and they look more solid at the back. The midweek game against Yokohama FC wasn't so important for Gamba as they used the second string and it was somehow expected to see them losing that match. On the other hand, Cerezo took Shonan's game very seriously but despite playing a strong starting 11 they lost by 5 goals to one. This was not good at all for Cerezo's board who decided to sack Brazilian coach Levir Culpi just before this derby match. I expect a cagey match here between two sides who have problems this year. So I don't rule out a draw here, hence the value is on Gamba, who may have fresh legs as well after resting key players in midweek while Cerezo did not. 

LOST Score: 0:1 Profit: -1
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