Norway
Under / Over
Pick: under +3.25
Odds: 1.85
Stake: 1
Bet365
Match date: 24/10/2020
In the Norwegian third league club Flekkeroy from Kristiansand play three Croatian players, which I had the opportunity to watch in theirs younger days and while they played in the Croatian third league (goalkeeper Ante Knezović, defender Matej Deković and striker Luka Nakić). They went to Norway because in this rank of the competition they have a much higher salary, than they would have in Croatia, they are satisfied and want to stay there, preferably in a higher rank of the competition in the new season.
I contacted one of them on Friday night about their match with Egersunds, which is being played as part of the 3rd round of group 2 play-offs for promotion. Right at the start, he told me that for Flekkeroy this is "to be or not to be match" because they have seven points less than second placed Vard, but also a game played less. They are hoping that in the remaining five games they could make a miracle and get to second place and enter in the final of play-offs for promotion, although they are aware that it will be very difficult.
But Flekkeroy has been playing great in defense lately and has only conceded more than one goal twice in last 11 games. In the last round he lost against Bryne 0:2, but Bryne is a safe traveler to a higher rank and few can expect anything against him.
The main problem for Flekkeroy is efficiency, they create chances, but it is difficult to score goals, only 18 in 14 games this season.
Their opponent Egersunds is only one point behind second place and also has an excellent defense and second best attack, but his balance has been improved by the recent 8-0 victory over Odd 2 and it is not such an attackingly powerful team, from which home team so much fear. Also, four weeks ago these rivals also played in Kristiansand and it ended 1-0 for Egersunds, with a very controversial goal in the 79th minute after Croatian defender Deković was sent off.
Today, captain J?rgen Richardsen and midfielder Christoffer Myhre are questionable for Flokkeroy's squad, but the medical team is doing everything to prepare them for the performance. The guests come without significant problems with the line-up, but this should be a much more even match than odds that favor the guests suggest, something similar to the last game.
So, in such an important match for both clubs, a somewhat more cautious approach can be expected and four goals in total don't seem likely. Seven of Flekkeroy’s last eight games have ended with two or fewer goals in total.
It has been raining in Kristiansand for days, which is expected today, but it is not cold, it will be around 10 degrees Celsius, and 600 home team fans have the right to enter in the stands, without guests."
TIP RESULTING
LOST
Score: 1:3
Profit:
-1
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