Dortmund vs Man City

UEFA Champions League
Under / Over
Pick: Under 3
Odds: 2.15
Stake: 1

Match date: 14/04/2021

It's hard for Man City to have a game over 3 ball. Their controlling while cautious approach had almost dominate the flow of every game. If they fail, they mostly struggled in attack (0-2 Man Utd, 1-2 Leeds). Leading by just one, I found it hard how the game can turn into goal fest, which is only reasonable if early goal opening the game up.

The market seems agreed with my view as well, with a possible syndicate smash from 2.09 to 1.85 around 9am GMT. Then the public money comes in (maybe some other syndicate too) and the under odds drift gradually to 2.15 which is big value to me.  My odds 1.88.

VOID Score: 1:2 Profit: 0
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