Dinamo - Hajduk

Asian Handicap
Pick: Dinamo (AH-1)
Odds: 1.94
Stake: 1

Match date: 27/01/2021
»Soccer» Croatia »1. HNL» D. Zagreb - Hajduk Split

Big HNL derby. For me, the AH line and odds have great value.
I would give line AH-1.25 and odds 1.95.

Dinamo is by far the best team in the league. They have by far the biggest budget, the widest playing staff, the best team and the best organized club in the league.
For this match, Dinamo has no major problems with absences and will play with strongest possible lineup.
Hajduk is a famous name, but there is little left of the famous and strong club. The games they display are at a low level, the quality of their team is limited.
Recently, some progress has been made within the club, a new sports director and coach has been brought in, but it will take a long time to achieve progress in a positive direction.

I may be subjective, but my opinion is that in this match, everything is on the side of Dinamo and I expect a victory of two to three goals difference."
WIN Score: 3:1 Profit: +0.94
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  • 1
    Bullet 27/01/2021 17:07:45
    Invest odds@1.94 closed odds@ 1.92 +0.02 avantage
  • 2
    InsideSport 27/01/2021 22:41:28
    Beating closing lines is the only way to be profitable in the long run so good job. Try to do it on most games and your results should follow. 
  • 3
    Bullet 27/01/2021 23:23:21
    @InsideSport, I have too much experience in betting and could argue for a long time, I had long periods (approx. 6 months) of periods when I was constantly winning the closing line but the profit was not particularly good ie yield.But basically we agree whoever manages to win the closing line in the long run has a big advantage.

    However, what I notice and what I don't like at the moment is that a lot of people are thrilled when someone hits the lower leagues well, ie leagues with small limits.
    Many sites have failed because of this in the long run.

    Let's say the HNL is a league with relatively small limits and it is not the same to have a good profit in leagues where there are strong limits or let's say the HNL, 2 HNL, 3. Finland, Serbian league 2. Serbian league ....

    A tipster who has a long-term yield in strong leagues is 5% is much worth than a tipster who has a 15 +% yield in low-limit leagues.

    You can also wait for live betting (for leagues where the limits are lower) where the limits are higher however for clients it is difficult to follow and ultimately it makes no sense.

    A very good example of why they should not be based on sports, ie leagues with small limits, is the example of Dvoznak.com, where they made a mistake with the business concept, ie they failed in the long run.

    And finally, as for me as a tipster, I will write on your site by the end of the year and the results will speak for themselves. I am convinced that in the long run a very small number of tipsters will be able to reach the level required by more serious investors, ie clients.

  • 4
    InsideSport 28/01/2021 10:19:14
    As for the first part. It can be tricky and generalizations usually do not apply the same across all leagues, tipster etc. What many failed to understand that it is not enough just to beat the closing lines, the tipster needs to beat closing lines by a lot, meaning at least by that amount to cover bookmaker margin.

    For example, Pinnacle has a margin of 5% on one specific event, tipster should beat that margin and more to really beat the closing lines. Joseph Buchdahl has great articles and some books on that topic.

    As for the later part, I agree. For me, personally, 1 unit in Asia is better and more meaningfully then 10 units od bet365 or any kind of mini limits event. And that is what we value in InsideSport as well. Only tipsters that can beat Asia and at least medium limits markets (f.a. like Croatian HNL) will reach the biggest heights. However, there will be always a majority of bettors that like and use smaller events for their gain, by betting at soft bookies or accumulators. Do not worry, we at InsideSport know what matters the most.

    I am very glad that you will be focussing on InsideSport for a longer period, that is exactly hat we're striving for. We want tipsters to show consistency over the long run. We will be watching your tips carefully, keep it up!

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