Croatia - Slovenia

Asian Handicap
Pick: Croatia -0.5
Odds: 1.63
Stake: 1

Match date: 07/09/2021

World Cup qualifiers, Round 6

Croatia is welcoming their neighbors Slovenia in this qualifying game for the 2022 World Cup. 

The venue: Stadium Poljud, Split

In my opinion the Croatian team has played very well in the two first games of the three during September qualifiers window. They have achieved exactly what has been expected - draw in Russia (0:0) and victory in Slovakia (0:1). Both games were more or less tight but unlike in Moscow where the Croats were visibly dominant only in final 15 minutes or so, in Slovakia it was clear from the first moment that Zlatko Dalic's side is better team. Eventually they broke the Slovakians after beautiful shot by Brozovic very late in the game.  

On this way the Croats remained tied on the top of this Group H together with Russia. Most likely exactly Croatia vs Russia meeting later in the qualifications will be crucial in the race for direct World Cup visa. 

Now is extremely important for the host to beat Slovenia cause in that case probably wouldn't need to chase victory against Russia but also draw should be enough. 

In my opinion the Croats are more than capable to defeat Slovenia. 

A lot of advantages here on the Croatian side. Firstly of course home advantage. Slovenia has made big upset when winning 1:0 at home vs Croatia in the first round. But they didn't exactly prove to be too much competitive team when playing away from home. Thus Slovenia was defeated even when playing on Cyprus.  

Beside home advantage, what I also consider huge advantage for Croatia is the fact they have much deeper squad. On this way Zlatko Dalic was able to mix a lot, to rest someone when needed but in the same time not to lower quality of his team. 

The team that played in Russia:

Hrvatska: Livaković, Sosa, Lovren, Ćaleta-Car (84' Škorić), Juranović, Brozović, Kovačić, Pašalić (70' Ivanušec), Vlašić, Perišić (74' Livaja), Kramarić (74' Oršić). 

The team that played in Slovakia:


Ivušić, Sosa, Vida, Lovren, Juranović, Kovačić (84' Majer), Brozović, Oršić (62' Kramarić), Vlašić (55' Pašalić), Ivanušec (55' Perišić), Čolak (55' Livaja). 

Luka Modric missed both of those two games. There were hopes he could recover for match against Slovenia but by latest info that won't happen. Even without him the Croats should deliver. 

The goalkeeper Livaković was injured and replaced by Ivušić who did great job. We are yet to see who will be on goal now. 

Vida was suspended for match in Russia. Back then somehow I missed that but defense still did the job properly. Vida was back in the starting lineup last time.  

The bottom line, this team is not on the level from 2018 WC. Some players don't play anymore, Modric injured now, Rebic would be helpful for sure but he is removed from the national team after some bad words he said about Zlatko Dalic. But, this is still top European selection which in my opinion is for class above Slovenia especially when playing at home.  

WIN Score: 3:0 Profit: +0.63
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