Chacarita vs Belgrano

By Nestor - 19.4.2021. 14:14

Argentina

Asian Handicap

Pick: Belgrano -0.25

Odds: 1.88

Stake: 1

188

Match date: 19/04/2021

Let's go with Belgrano 

It has a much better squad, one of the best in the division 

He started a barbaric, three consecutive wins and had an incredible setback in Santiago del Estero with Miter, where at least he did not deserve to lose and with Atlanta he had it under control and he escaped on the last play 

Axel Ochoa returns to the left side, to Orfila's first team 

On the side of Chacarita, his captain and key player have been dismissed due to his good level and because the replacement arrives without experience in first class. 

https://twitter.com/PasionTricolor5/status/1383484248368115718?s=20 

I am talking about the goalkeeper Tripodi, who will not be due to Covid and will tackle an inexperienced youth Although Chacarita sucked in the last matches, from what I read in the chronicles it was not overwhelming and I see that at home it is not becoming strong 

So due to the difference in teams and due to the situation of the lack of the goalkeeper, which is key, I go with Belgrano

TIP RESULTING

LOST Score: 2:0 Profit: -1

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1

CK 20/04/2021 01:58:34

Favorite team lost again

REPLY

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Tipster	Profit	Yield	Picks
Alwin Amler	-2.98	-17%	18
HenryLai	1.51	76%	2
Jugoslav	1.02	20%	5
kaskader	-6.54	-18%	36
Robert Munter	4.59	13%	36
Mackbet	-4.93	-41%	12
mrgol	5.32	17%	31
Nestor	-8.24	-18%	45
Maradona	5.23	31%	17
Andre Graca	2.42	20%	12
alexis1016	-3.9	-14%	27
Ivan-dzo	6.78	57%	12
erbil	-1.16	-19%	6

Tipster

Profit

Yield

Picks

Alwin Amler

-2.98

-17%

HenryLai

1.51

76%

Jugoslav

1.02

20%

kaskader

-6.54

-18%

Robert Munter

4.59

13%

Mackbet

-4.93

-41%

mrgol

5.32

17%

Nestor

-8.24

-18%

Maradona

5.23

31%

Andre Graca

2.42

20%

alexis1016

-3.9

-14%

Ivan-dzo

6.78

57%

erbil

-1.16

-19%

Maradona 24/10/2021 23:15:06

Thanks man. I really appreciate your kind words. Sorry that I don't replay on your comment always.

By the way, it's not that I choose Draw so often. In that case it wouldn't be profitable. I'm making strict selection and every pick even if it's a draw with odds 3.50+, is only when I'm highly confident.

Just for the record in the last three months I had:
August 13 bets, only 2 were Draws and both correct.
September 28 bets, only 4 were draws, 3 of 4 correct.
October 17 bets so far, only 4 draws and 3 of 4 correct.
In total over last three months:
58 bets and only 10 times it was Draw choice. So basically in average once out of six bets I have the draw bet.
But my hitting ratio on draws is extremely high. I have won 8 of the 10 in the mentioned period of the last three months. That's pretty damn good even if you would pick 1.50 odds.
Of course on the super long run it's not 80% of the time I'm correct but I'm easily hitting 40+ % of my draw picks. So everyone can take a math.

Obviously I'm doing this correctly. 25+ years of betting behind me including 6 years as a bookie and those 6 years in terms of experience and chance to learn and improve, worth I would say like 600 years of being only bettor.

Shuaib Yunus Hassan 24/10/2021 23:21:10

Sounds pretty cool. It's very hard though to get many draws. 8 out of 10 drawns going correct is Simply Amazing Man
Maradona 24/10/2021 23:15:06

Shuaib Yunus Hassan: Never saw someone getting many draw picks as you, a wonderful job u do
Thanks man. I really appreciate your kind words. Sorry that I don't replay on your comment always.

By the way, it's not that I choose Draw so often. In that case it wouldn't be profitable. I'm making strict selection and every pick even if it's a draw with odds 3.50+, is only when I'm highly confident.

Just for the record in the last three months I had:
August 13 bets, only 2 were Draws and both correct.
September 28 bets, only 4 were draws, 3 of 4 correct.
October 17 bets so far, only 4 draws and 3 of 4 correct.
In total over last three months:
58 bets and only 10 times it was Draw choice. So basically in average once out of six bets I have the draw bet.
But my hitting ratio on draws is extremely high. I have won 8 of the 10 in the mentioned period of the last three months. That's pretty damn good even if you would pick 1.50 odds.
Of course on the super long run it's not 80% of the time I'm correct but I'm easily hitting 40+ % of my draw picks. So everyone can take a math.

Obviously I'm doing this correctly. 25+ years of betting behind me including 6 years as a bookie and those 6 years in terms of experience and chance to learn and improve, worth I would say like 600 years of being only bettor.
Shuaib Yunus Hassan 24/10/2021 22:45:02

Never saw someone getting many draw picks as you, a wonderful job u do
Shuaib Yunus Hassan 24/10/2021 22:44:04

Wow another draw and correct
Shuaib Yunus Hassan 24/10/2021 22:43:20

Bellingham scored an amazing goal, a chip after dribbling past two players . 17 / 18 year old and playing so amazingly, that guy has serious talent

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