Celta - Elche

Under / Over
Pick: Under 2.5
Odds: 1.82
Stake: 1

Match date: 12/02/2021

I was thinking about this match and my thoughts were to back Elche +1 or to bet on U2.5 because both seems as good bets, but since one of the guys here took Elche +1 I am going to take the U2.5 instead. 

Celta sits on 10th place in the table and it seems that this season they don’t have any real chances to challenge for european spots, while keeping a good distance from relegation zone. After a great December where they won 6 out of 7 matches, Celta didn’t start very well this year and are still winless. Nevertheless they made two good results in last two matches taking two draws away at Granada and Atletico Madrid. 

Tonight it seems the right for Celta to register the first win of the year when they face Elche the penultimate team in the table. Elche sits in the relegation zone, but they have two matches less than their relegation rivals and my thoughts are that they will fight very hard to get away at least with a point tonight and I expect from them tight defense. 

From the bottom half of the table Elche has the third best defense with 28 goals received in 20 games. While Celta has the worst attack from the top ten teams with only 26 goals scored from 22 matches. 

So comparing those stats and having in mind the objectives of both teams I expect a very tight game tonight especially from Elche. An early goal from Celta could put in danger our bet, but then still having in mind that Elche has one the weakest attacks in the league, I don’t expect great reaction. 

So a low scoring match is highly probable tonight and IMO these odds represent value. 

LOST Score: 3:1 Profit: -1
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