Brighton - Newcastle


England
Asian Handicap
Pick: Newcastle +1AH
Odds: 1.76
Stake: 1
Pinnacle

Match date: 20/03/2021

Premier League


It's a toss up between under 2.5 goals and Newcastle on the + handicap for me. But backing Brighton to win a home match at 1.60 against anyone in this league seems very unprofitable. They have the joint worst home record and the only thing that really works in their favour is they do actually play quite well but the football gods are often against them. We all know how powerful the football gods are.


Assuming they don't have a day off, we'll go with the + handicap. Newcastle are poor, especially away from home. They've only scored in 2 of their last 10 away fixtures. They did score at Old Trafford against Man Utd so there is always hope of a goal and a match against their relegation rivals could bring one. That would put this bet in good shape if so.


The Magpies are missing firepower though so i don't think we can expect a thriller. Miguel Almiron might be back though but i'm not sure how effective he'll be.


Brighton haven't won a home league match by 2 or more for a long long time, pre-2020 i think. They did beat Newcastle 3-0 at St James's Park back in September, if that counts for anything.

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TIP RESULTING
LOST Score: 3:0 Profit: -1
Lost
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