Benfica - Arsenal

UEFA Europa League
Asian Handicap
Pick: Benfica +0.5
Odds: 1.89
Stake: 1

Match date: 18/02/2021

Initially I didn’t want to touch this match, but when I see such odds on Benfica I couldn’t let it go. I mean no way Benfica could be priced at around 3.75-3.80 odds even if they are struggling lately. Especially not against Arsenal who also are struggling a lot this season. 

Both matches of this duel will be played on neutral field. This one will be played in Rome while the return leg in Greece. So no home advantage for any of the teams. 

Both teams having a disappointing season so far in their respective leagues.

Benfica siting fourth and trailing by 13 points from Sporting, so title hopes are over long ago. Arsenal doing even worse sitting in tenth position eight points from top four and with no real chances challenging for top four due to their inconsistency in results. So I believe both teams will focus more on Europa League and try to go as further as they can.

Both teams played very well in the group stage. Arsenal finished in first place wining all six matches but they faced relatively weak teams like Dundalk, Molde, Rapid Wien while Benfica finished in second position after Rangers with three wins and three draws.

Maybe one reason for such high odds has been the recent form of Benfica who have made a lot of draws and have lost agaisnt Braga and Sporting. I saw the game against Sporting and they didn’t deserve to lose that one. Nevertheless Arsenal hasn’t been better. Since the beginning of the year they have won only against weakest teams of the league like WBA, Newcastle and also against Leeds last match. They have lost to Southampton, Wolves and Villa during this period. 

So as it seems both teams lacking results and continuity so really I don’t see any reason why to give such high odds to Benfica. IMO this is a 50/50 match and in this case I am taking +0.5 on Benfica which pays very good IMO. Gl! 

WIN Score: 1:1 Profit: +0.89
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