Belgium - Italy


International
1X2 / Moneyline
Pick: Draw
Odds: 3.12
Stake: 1
Pinnacle

Match date: 02/07/2021

EURO 2020 - quarterfinals 


Venue: Allianz Arena in Munchen, Germany. 


Belgium and Italy will face each other in probably the most interesting QF duel. Any of these two could easily to go all the way on this tournament. 


Belgium in my opinion is slightly better team and from that angle offered odds on them are value. They have topped its group with all three victories, the same as Italians but unlike Italy who with lot of problems passed Austria in the R16 (Extra Time was played), the Belgian team has recorded another 90 minutes win and against more difficult opponent, 1:0 vs Portugal.  


Still, game against Portugal has left lot of consequences for the Belgian side. Namely, two of the three best players got injured. Those are Kevin De Bruyne and Eden Hazard. So basically only Romelu Lukaku of Belgian Big 3 is completely fit.  

It's big unknown if De Bruyne and Hazard could play in the QF. This is the main reason why Italy is currently slight favourite to qualify for SF.  

I personally think Hazard won't play while De Bruyne will but probably is not ready for full 90 minutes, especially not for 120 which I think will occur in this match. 

In any case, Carrasco as well Mertens are waiting for the chance to start. The head coach Martinez has very deep squad and that's obviously advantage for Belgium compared with most of other teams. Namely, usually there isn't much difference who is on the pitch. But, if both, Hazard as well De Bruyne are not able to play not even one half, then that's surely handicap.  

Martinez has said the chances for those two players are 50-50 but obviously he won't reveal the team all until the hour before start of the match. 


As for Italy, they have the most important concern about Chiellini, whether he could start or not. Namely he was far from fully fit. Also it is only on head coach Mancini to decide whether Chiesa will get the chance after was the man who has decided the R16 meeting against Austria. Italy obviously also has high quality players on the bench and Mancini could try to surprise Martinez with one or two unexpected names in the starting line-up.  


From my point of view, the full time draw certainly deserves a look. As already mentioned in the last preview, this tournament again proved how valuable is to bet draws especially when the knockout stage arrives. In R16 even four of eight games went to Extra Time and one unit risk on each of those would give return of around 15+ units, so almost 100 ROI.  


I'm positive we are going to see few more till the end.  






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TIP RESULTING
LOST Score: 1:2 Profit: -1
Lost
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