Bahia vs Flamengo

Asian Handicap
Pick: 2 (-0.5)
Odds: 2.04
Stake: 1

Match date: 18/07/2021

The actual form is on Flamengo side. Bahia lost to Sao Paulo in the last round. Flamengo, meanwhile, beat Chapecoense in Serie A last weekend and then won 1:0 against Defensa y Justica in the Copa Libertadores during the midweek. The club officials decided to change coach Rogerio Ceni earlier this week and appointed Renato Gaucho as new boss.

The key reason for my pick is connect with the absentees. Bahia will be very handicapped in this match. Thaciano has signed for Turkish side Altay, Juninho has joined Midtjylland in Denmark, while new signing Hugo Rodallega is still ineligible to play. Three players are banned - Daniel and Nino received an extra suspension following a post-match brawl in the match with Ceara in the Copa do Nordeste, while Jonas has collected three yellow cards. Finally, Indio Ramírez is injured. Flamengo also have some unavailable players (Diego, Bruno Henrique and Rodrigo Caio are injured), but I rated Bahia's handicap as bigger.

Flamengo have won their last three matches against Bahia in Serie A and I expect the series to continue.

WIN Score: 0:5 Profit: +1.04
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