Atalanta - Napoli

Asian Handicap
Pick: Atalanta (-0.5)
Odds: 1.81
Stake: 1

Match date: 10/02/2021

Copa Italia is the only real chance for both teams to win something this season and thus this match is very important for both teams. In this match I will back Atalanta due to several reasons:


1.     Napoli has very serious issues heading to this match. They will miss both CB, Koulibaly due to covid and Manolas due to injury, so in the cb position tonight we will probably see Rrahmani and Maksimovic who are second choice players. So I see it very difficult for Napoli to keep Atalanta from a couple of goals tonight. The problem is how much will Atalanta concede, but after that failure against Torino in last match, I expect them to be more cautious in the defense.

2.     The second reason is the situation at the moment in Napoli. It is a well known fact that the president De Laurentis and Gattuso are not having the best relations lately and this culminated when Gattuso declared that he expected more support. This match and the next one against Juve will be decisive for Gattuso.

Beside the abovementioned reasons, Atalanta is more talanted team and in better form than Napoli lately. They played better in the first leg and Napoli was very lucky to keep a clean sheet. Atalanta created a lot of chances while Napoli was very poor and I hardly expect any improvement from Napoli in few days. They are also coming from a loss from Genoa which surely will not boost their morale. Atalanta also coming from a dissapointing draw against Torino after leading 3-0 in first 30 minutes, but I expect better performance from them in defense tonight.

To sum up, I believe Atalanta has more than Napoli at the moment and should win this match and take advantage of the Napoli’s problems.

WIN Score: 3:1 Profit: +0.81
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