Altay v Altinordu


Turkey
Under / Over
Pick: over 2.5
Odds: 1.89
Stake: 1
188

Match date: 23/02/2021

This is Izmir derby between Altay who recorded a remarkable win on away against strong Adana Demirspor and Altinordu who had satisfied with a point at home with Adanaspor.

Just two weeks ago Altay sacked experienced coach Yucel Ildiz and surprised me as I know that Yucel Ild?z is one of the best coach of this league. I guess he was against the winter transfers and rejected to continue with the new players or something like that. They brought Osman Ozkoylu who is an other man of this league as he has got more than enough experience with TFF 1 league. In his first match they conceded 4 goals from Kecioren who are a mean team in hitting the nets on away. So was a strange result for me. Last weekend when defeating Adana Demirspor on away 1-2 there was one missed penalty so I can count 6 conceded goals of two matches since he took over. And this is a lot. I can simply say that Altay have got problems in defending ways and important veteran defender Ibrahim Ozturk is still injured. However midfielder Zeki Yildirim (1 goal 1 assist 232) is out of suspension. I must remind here that Altay have got no tolerance for loosing point(s) as they at least want to finish in play-off. So they will for sure play to win tonight. I must bring in to your attention that Paixao with 16 goals still continue his goals and he is top scorer of the team not only this season but also was in previous years. I believe he will do his job again. Check that he was the one hitting the nets of Adana Demirspor last weekend 2 times just in early minutes of the match. No doubt that he is the most dangerous striker of this league at the moment.

Altinordu are kind of a project who are focused on academy and raise football players. It is true that they have got the best facilities for their mission and they are really raising important players for Turkish leagues and even European major leagues. So they always play with a system and are one of the most positive team of the league and they never play for a draw. The players are eager to prove themselves and move to an other club where they can reach their dreams. So it does not matter what the score is and they will still play positive. Bad news is that important defender Ogulcan Ulgun (1 goal 1585) is going to be absent in this clash.

FACTS THAT EXPLAIN WHY GOALS:-

-Paixao played 5 times against Altinordu and managed to hit their nets in all these matches (total 5).

-Altay lost both matches that they played at home. This is a bit unusual and this is an other reason for them to win.

-Altinordu lost only one match out of 6 league matches that they played in the league.

-Both teams played 30 matches in professional leagues. Altay made 31 and Altinordu 35 goals in these meetings (2.27).

-8 of 11 home matches that Altay played at home resulted with goals over 2.5.

-Altay conceded in 7 of 8 home matches that they played at home in the league.

-Altinordu managed to score in 8 of 11 home matches that they played in the league (this match is at their home stadium).

-4 OF LAST 5 LEAGUE MATCHES THAT THESE TWO TEAMS PLAYED WITH EACH OTHER RESULTED WITH GOALS OVER 2.5.


ALTAY HOME RECORD OF GOALS:-

1,91 Average of total goals SCORED AT HOME.

1,27 Average of total goals CONCEDED AT HOME.


ALTINORDU HOME RECORD OF GOALS:-

1,36 Average of total goals SCORED AT HOME.

1,18 Average of total goals CONCEDED AT HOME.


ALTINORDU AWAY RECORD OF GOALS:-

1,55    Average of total goals SCORED ON AWAY.

1,45    Average of total goals CONCEDED ONAWAY.


I tried to explain why there should be goals in this derby. I must emphasize that match will be played at Bornova stadium which is already the home of Altinordu. So we should take the home goal performance of Altinordu while analyzing. Good weather conditions is also an other reason for the goal chances and none of them will play for a draw here. I don’t like pre bets for overs but I like to bring this preview into your attention. I am again temped from an over bet. $

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TIP RESULTING
WIN Score: 1:3 Profit: +0.89
Win
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