Almeria - Rayo Vallecano

Asian Handicap
Pick: Almeria -0.25 AH
Odds: 2.05
Stake: 1

Match date: 02/04/2021

Spain - LaLiga2, Round 33

Not much is left till the end of the season, only ten rounds. Almeria is in the race for promotion and they are entering this round on the third position and only four points behind Espanyol and Mallorca. 

Almeria is pretty much safe for the playoffs spot (No. 3 to No. 6) but they are aiming direct promotion as one of the two best in the league. 

In last round all three best team have won. In my opinion this is something we could see often in the rest of the season. Almeria was very convincing away against shorthanded Malaga (0:3). Now back home, I expect another victory although opponent isn't easy. 

Rayo Vallecano is currently on position No. 6, the lowest that guarantee the playoffs. They are just one point above nearest follower but with one game in hand.  

Obviously the guests need points too, so this could be one open game where both teams are looking for the win. After all, that's how Rayo Vallecano usually plays, attacking. But in my opinion that suit perfectly to Almeria. Namely Almeria more likely would have problems when hosting some very defensively oriented team.  

From the angle of the schedule, very bad moment for both teams. Almeria was in action on March the 30th while today's game is their third in last seven days. But Rayo Vallecano also has played the last time just three days ago and by the way back then they have suffered 0:1 home loss to Sporting Gijon.  

Team news:

The head coach of Almeria was talking how he understands that fatigue could affect some of his players and that changes are possible because of that. But he added how everyone are ready and can answer the challenge. The good news is that two of younger players, the central back Jorge Cuenca and attacker Largie Ramazani who were with Spanish and Belgian U21 national team, are back now and both are in the competition for starting line-up.  

Seems like Rayo Vallecano is the team who is with more problems with the squad. Namely for the guests Jose Pozo, Jose Leonardo Ulloa and Emiliano Velazquez are all injured while A. Garcia Rivera should be out too.  

Albanian right back, Ivan Balliu is the only one on the injury report for the hosts. 

I expect home win but since high odds allows, will cut the risk a little bit with -0.25 line.

LOST Score: 0:1 Profit: -1
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