Ontinyent vs Lleida HALF LOST 0:0
06/01/2019PICK: Lleida -0.25 2.01 SBOBET
Ontinyent vs Lleida (Spain Segunda B Group III)
Ontinyent is on a poor run without a win in last 6 and they have lost 3 out of those. This leaves them in the relegation zone. The situation is pretty poor since salaries have not been paid for two months and a lot of players left while some other plan to leave. Fans are outraged with the board and have lost faith. Ontinyent is missing defenders Carbonell(17/0) and Albiol(16/0) while Zarzo(12/1) is doubtful. Lleida has recorded 4 wins in last 5 games. They are second placed and with a win, they can climb back to the first position. Lledia has won last 5 games vs. Ontinyent and has conceded only 1 goal in those games. Forward Bakayoko(16/2) is out while rest of the team is full strength.
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By the way, it's not that I choose Draw so often. In that case it wouldn't be profitable. I'm making strict selection and every pick even if it's a draw with odds 3.50+, is only when I'm highly confident.
Just for the record in the last three months I had:
August 13 bets, only 2 were Draws and both correct.
September 28 bets, only 4 were draws, 3 of 4 correct.
October 17 bets so far, only 4 draws and 3 of 4 correct.
In total over last three months:
58 bets and only 10 times it was Draw choice. So basically in average once out of six bets I have the draw bet.
But my hitting ratio on draws is extremely high. I have won 8 of the 10 in the mentioned period of the last three months. That's pretty damn good even if you would pick 1.50 odds.
Of course on the super long run it's not 80% of the time I'm correct but I'm easily hitting 40+ % of my draw picks. So everyone can take a math.
Obviously I'm doing this correctly. 25+ years of betting behind me including 6 years as a bookie and those 6 years in terms of experience and chance to learn and improve, worth I would say like 600 years of being only bettor.