Extremadura vs R. Oviedo WIN 0:2
20/01/2019PICK: Oviedo +0 2.03 SBOBET
Extremadura vs R. Oviedo (Spain LaLiga2)
Best player of the home team, topscorer of the league, Enric Gallego(19/15) left to Huesca couple of days ago. Extremadura will have hard task to avoid relegation without him, the statistics says: Extremadura managed to win only when he was present on the pitch! Oviedo is five points far away from play off places, is on a good run, has no fresh injury worries beside defender Christian(21/1).
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By the way, it's not that I choose Draw so often. In that case it wouldn't be profitable. I'm making strict selection and every pick even if it's a draw with odds 3.50+, is only when I'm highly confident.
Just for the record in the last three months I had:
August 13 bets, only 2 were Draws and both correct.
September 28 bets, only 4 were draws, 3 of 4 correct.
October 17 bets so far, only 4 draws and 3 of 4 correct.
In total over last three months:
58 bets and only 10 times it was Draw choice. So basically in average once out of six bets I have the draw bet.
But my hitting ratio on draws is extremely high. I have won 8 of the 10 in the mentioned period of the last three months. That's pretty damn good even if you would pick 1.50 odds.
Of course on the super long run it's not 80% of the time I'm correct but I'm easily hitting 40+ % of my draw picks. So everyone can take a math.
Obviously I'm doing this correctly. 25+ years of betting behind me including 6 years as a bookie and those 6 years in terms of experience and chance to learn and improve, worth I would say like 600 years of being only bettor.